Spain's win at Euro 2012 - their third consecutive major tournament win - has sparked off all kinds of comparisons in the bar room debate over the best international team of all time.
Of course, such conversations have a strong subjective component, but
it is hard to formulate arguments against the facts - and a fourth
consecutive trophy will surely tip the balance in Spain's favour.
But title number four looks set to be the hardest of the lot. It
entails doing what no European team has ever done - winning the World
Cup on South American soil when the world come to Brazil in 2014.
Worse, it comes at a time when the South Americans, who have always
won the trophy when it has been staged on their continent, have an
unprecedented degree of strength in depth. This is something the
reigning world and European champions should know from experience.
Spain, of course, have breezed through the knock-out stages of their
three victorious tournaments without conceding a single goal. It is
worth remembering that in all that time the most difficult, most even
game was the 2010 World Cup quarter-final against Paraguay, who even missed a penalty.
Paraguay, though, may well not be in Brazil in two years' time. The agonising progress they made to the final of last year's Copa America
was the last hurrah for the team that had pushed Spain all the way.
Coach Gerardo Martino resigned, replacement Francisco Arce tried to
change too much too soon and was sacked.
Whoever takes over (combative Uruguayan Gerardo Pelusso is the favourite) faces an uphill task.
As does the new coach of Bolivia, still to be named after Gustavo
Quinteros resigned last week. Dependent on the extreme altitude of
playing in La Paz, Bolivia have surely already dropped too many points
at home to be serious contenders for a World Cup place.
Peru have made an even worse start, a bitter disappointment after
coming third in the Copa America. They have had an appalling run with
injuries. If they can get their dangerous strikers fit they could make
up lost ground - and they are at home in both of September's next two
rounds. But there is no margin for error - unlike Chile.
With a third of the qualification campaign gone, the Chileans already
have half the points they need to book a place. They gave Spain an
interesting game in the last World Cup, and an even more interesting one
in a friendly in Switzerland last year, when they went two goals up
only to lose 3-2 to a dubious injury-time penalty. For all their
attacking threat, though, it is hard to imagine Chile finding the
defensive solidity to unseat the Spaniards should their paths cross in
the next World Cup.
Uruguay are a different matter, combining a hugely talented
collection of strikers who work well together with a tough defence, an
abrasive midfield and a team well drilled enough to tweak their
formation in accordance with the strengths and weaknesses of their
opponent.
They have also made a good start to the qualification process - but
key components of the side are starting to age and may need replacing by
2014. This is part of the importance of the coming Olympics to the
Uruguayans, a subject that I will explore in two weeks' time.
At the other end of the continent, Venezuela are in contention to
qualify for the World Cup for the first time. Their progress has been
truly amazing. But should they make the World Cup it is hard to see them
having enough real quality to trouble Spain and the other major
challengers from Europe. Much the same applies to Ecuador, full of
powerful options down the flanks, but defensively suspect away from
their mountain stronghold of Quito.
But if they can qualify for the first time since 1998, Colombia could
give the heavyweights something to worry about. There are problems in
their squad - the centre-backs are all ageing together, for example. But
there is also the hint of something very interesting. Radamel Falcao is one of the most feared centre-forwards in the game.
To get the best out of him Colombia must give him better service. He
struggles with his back to goal, so Colombia need to get behind the
opposing defence and play in balls that he can attack. It is for this
reason that the emergence of attacking midfielder James Rodriguez is so
significant. Versatile, mature, strong on the ball and full of ideas, he
looks like being a key piece in the jigsaw now being put together by
former Argentina boss Jose Pekerman.
Current Argentina coach Alejandro Sabella is having problems with a
jigsaw of his own. Argentina are very much a work in progress, a team
looking for a blend and a shape. Sabella confesses that there are
problems at both full and centre-back - he could have included
goalkeeper as well, because undisputed first choice Sergio Romero can
often look untidy.
Federico Fernandez and Ezequiel Garay are still feeling their way as a
centre back combination. But there are some positive signs as well. Up
front the interplay between Lionel Messi and Sergio Aguero can be
dazzling. And in the last World Cup qualifier at home to Ecuador,
Fernando Gago served as an excellent supply line for Messi.
Surround the little Barcelona genius with enough of these little
partnerships and Sabella is well on the way to putting together a team
fit to contend with Spain and anyone else in the World Cup. And he has
the advantage of the world's most competitive qualification campaign to
help him find the right balance.
This is something Brazil, automatically qualified as hosts, do not
have. Coach Mano Menezes has lamented the lack of competitive fixtures
in his quest to build a team for 2014 - all of which makes the London
Olympics all the more important for him and his country. But that is a
topic for next week.
Comments on the piece in the space provided. Questions on South
American football to vickerycolumn@hotmail.com and I'll pick out a
couple for next week.
From last week's postbag:
Q) I've just moved to Lima in Peru on a teaching
contract for two years. I'm keen to get involved with the local
football, but have no idea where to start. What is Peruvian football
like in general and who are the big, or local teams to follow?
Dafydd Gwyon
A) You arrive in interesting times. On the downside,
the league is in deep financial crisis, with most of the clubs,
especially the Lima giants, mired in debt. Indeed, a new
administrator-type figure has been appointed at a number of clubs in a
bid to sort it all out.
On the plus side, first there is a pleasing and very necessary
movement of decentralisation. Historically Lima monopolises, but last
season Juan Aurich of Chiclayo took the title up north for the first
time, and this year Cesar Vallejo from nearby Trujillo are leading the
way.
There are also some interesting young players coming through,
especially at Universitario in the capital, currently coached by
Nolberto Solano, where Polo, Flores and my current favourite Ampuero (a
tall, left-footed midfielder with an imperious air) are all worth a
look. Universitario (more linked with the elite) and Alianza Lima (mass
of the population) are the big two. But the best team in the capital to
watch at the moment are Sporting Cristal, who have an impressive
collection of attacking talent.
Or, if you want something more offbeat, there's San Martin, a new
club whose tiny support base mainly consists of university students.
No comments:
Post a Comment